north carolina congressional district map

It has the highest percentage of Unaffiliated voters in North Carolina at 42% and the third-lowest percentage of registered Republican voters (beat only by the other two districts listed as safely Democratic). She became involved in politics during the 2020 election and became connected to the NC GOP through her husband, who is acquainted with former White House Chief of Staff and NC-11 Representative Mark Meadows. With the redrawing by a district court and three special masters, the Third District lost several northeastern rural counties, while adding several counties inland from the coast. By submitting your email, you agree to our, North Carolinas extreme new gerrymander, explained, Why Ron DeSantiss post-midterms glow up may fade, This flu season is looking really scary, in one chart. He believes these activities will help him win women voters, who make up 52% of the district. 90.3 Hickory 106.1 Laurinburg. North Carolina's 14th Congressional District Incumbent Vacant is vacant. As states across the country draw new lines in the wake of the census, governments controlled by a single party have a once-in-a-decade opportunity to give themselves a massive leg up. One way to measure the degree of unfairness is to look at what gerrymandering experts call responsiveness: the extent to which the outcome of elections changes based on shifts in votes. Falling into a 45-55 percent range usually means that turnout dynamics, and along with energy and mobilization drives, can move a district from one party to the next, barring substantial solidification of voter party loyalty. 40% of the district is registered Democrat, followed by 33% Unaffiliated and 27% Republican. These counties. newsletter, defanged federal anti-gerrymandering protections, on the cutting edge of anti-democratic activity, better equipped and have proven more willing, an existential threat to our political system, the power to seize control of the actual vote-counting procedure, North Carolina in 2016 and Wisconsin in 2018, suppressing turnout in Democratic-leaning communities, delegitimization of democratic rule and embrace of Trumps lies about election fraud, large and measurable downturns in democracy, more willing to engage in anti-democratic practices. What happens there is a leading indicator of where our political system is heading. Remedial North Carolina congressional district map Source: North Carolina General Assembly What is striking about the congressional map is how competitive it is. Join our weekly newsletter and never miss out on new stories and promotions. The state Supreme Court election, with two seats up, it could have a very large impact in all these cases, Cohen said. After winning a special election in November 2014, Congresswoman Adams was sworn in immediately as the 100th woman elected to the 113th Congress. The N.C. Supreme Court denied all appeals to the trial court order. In this file photo, Don Davis, D-Greene, takes the oath of office in the Senate chamber as lawmakers gather for the start of the 2017 Legislative session at the North Carolina General Assembly in . Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. They include more Democratic-leaning districts and more competitive districts, but not all critics are satisfied by them. Request an American Flag. Bishop won a special election in 2019 for the Ninth, after that race's 2018 contest was called into question amidst allegations of election fraud involving absentee by mail ballots and the connection to the then-Republican candidate in the contest. while many districts in states like New York and California have not been called. This broad-spectrum Republican turn against democracy does not mean that the American political system is doomed. At a polling location in Holly Springs, a Raleigh suburb that epitomizes the district's narrow partisan divide, voters said they are less focused on the individual candidates and more focused on the national parties' agendas. Some Democratic state legislatures appear willing to play the same game in 2021. Instead, hes countingon Unaffiliated and wealthy voters to be angry about some of President Bidens policies, including the botched withdrawal from Afghanistan and high prices at the grocery store and gas pump. "Even if Nickel were to win, and Don Davis wins in the 1st Congressional District and Jeff Jackson wins in the 14th Congressional District, its not going to protect the Democrats from, I think, losing control of the House.". The father of two said he thinks Hines is the right candidate to represent his "fiscally conservative perspective" at the national level but that Democrats' ambitious spending goals are needed at the local level to bring North Carolina's public schools "up to par.". North Carolina Redistricting 2022 Tracker: Congressional Maps by District. 90.7 Charlotte 93.7 Southern Pines Precincts are the smallest unit at which vote counts are reported. North Carolina U.S. House Election Results 2022 house seats won in North Carolina 7 dem Gained2 seats 7 gop County breakdown Charlotte Raleigh Greensboro House district House 1 99% in D D.. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. However, Castelli is another NC Republican candidate who scrubbed his website of mentions of being anti-abortion and does not live in the district, both of which have earned him negative press. The maps they came up with that time were struck down in state courts; theres already a case pending about the new maps. To view these new districts please visit the following N.C. General Assembly resources. Jeff Jackson (D) won election for the seat on November 8, 2022. But for the 2022 maps yellow dots, thats not the case: Republicans continue to maintain a 10-4 advantage even when Democrats win solid statewide majorities. This district is located just north of the new 14th district, covering the northern half of Mecklenburg County and the western half of Cabarrus County. You have election subversion laws, like Georgias SB 202, that give state Republicans the power to seize control of the actual vote-counting procedure in counties. Legal Statement. President Biden carried this district by 9 points in 2020, but this is much lower than previous Democratic presidential candidates: Clinton won the district by a whopping 37 points only 4 years earlier, and Obama won the district by similarly high numbers in 2008 and 2012. POLITICO's coverage of 2022 races for Senate, House, Governors and Key Ballot Measures. It would take an absolute blowout, over 7 percentage points in the statewide popular vote, for Democrats to even get half of the states congressional delegation. NC voting patterns are very close in relationship to future voting patterns, chairmanship of the Financial Services Committee, Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton Metropolitan Statistical Area. Though change in voter precincts is typically incremental, precinct geograpahy does evolve over time, leading to some differences between VTDs and current precincts. This is a shift from its previous location in the southern half of Wake County. Castelli won the Republican primary narrowly over Joseph Lee Haywood, who ran against Manning in 2020. One other important racial component: the district is the second highest in North Carolina of "all other races," thanks in large part to the Lumbee Indians of Robeson County, which is making an apparent partisan realignment from Democratic to Republican voting patterns. The district is 36 percent rural, 29 percent urban/central city, 18 percent urban suburbs, and 17 percent surrounding suburban counties. . North Carolina legislators approved new U.S. House district map lines late Thursday, creating at least three competitive congressional districts after the state's highest court struck. But that dynamic is somewhat blunted by two other factors. This suburban/rural district's Republican tendencies are show in the fact that 42 percent of its voters are registered Republican, with 35 percent Unaffiliated and only 22 percent registered Democratic, the lowest of any of the fourteen congressional districts in the state. or redistributed. Results for House swing districts include: House District 9 in Pitt County. We'll also give the Cook Political Report's Partisan Voting Index rating for each district. In terms of mid-summer fundraising, both Edwards and Beach-Ferrara had significant war chest of money at that point, with Edwards raising $1.1 million and Beach-Ferrara at $1.8 million. In response, the state reconfigured the newly-established 12th Congressional District the next year, which thinly stretched 160 miles across the state. It has been represented by Democrat David Price since 1988, except for one term from 1994-1996 (remember, the 1994 elections were a sweep for Republicans across the country). All 50 seats of the North Carolina State Senate and all 120 seats of the North Carolina House of Representatives, are up for election every two years. Villaverde has a generic statement about being pro-life and discusses her opposition to mask and vaccine mandates on her website, but her primary issue is public safety and crime, a regular talking point for Republican candidates in this election cycle. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. The district runs long the NC/Tennessee and Virginia lines, making up a significant mountain district, and is represented by Republican Virginia Foxx. All the political scientists are sort of coming to the same conclusion: this doesnt look happenstance. His opponent, Democrat Wiley Nickel, is bringing up Hines abortion views every chance he gets in hopes of motivating these suburban and exurban women to turn out to vote. Duke mathematician Jonathan Mattingly ran an analysis of the new maps testing their responsiveness, looking at how many seats each party would get using statewide popular vote totals from previous elections (e.g., the Democrats US Senate win in 2008, the GOPs gubernatorial victory in 2012). North Carolina's Supreme Court scrambled incumbents' districts after throwing out the map drawn by GOP legislators. The court ruled 4-3 along party lines in February that the maps demonstrated intentional partisan bias but not racial bias and ordered that the new maps be used for the 2022 election. October 27, 2022, Big Brother knows more about you than you knowOctober 20, 2022. In 1991, the Department of Justice rejected the states newly-drawn congressional map and requested there be a second majority-minority district. All of these statistics forecast a fairly easy win for Adams. However, we classify this district as Likely Democrat given its history and high number of registered Democratic voters (48%). It was drawn by a 3-judge panel in February of this year after the North Carolina Supreme Court threw out the General Assemblys congressional map for extreme partisan gerrymandering. It is over two-thirds urban and 25% exurban, and has the highest percentage of Millennials in the state (33%). All rights reserved. The Fourteenth Congressional District- the newborn! Rouzer, who lost his first attempt at the congressional seat by only 655 votes in 2012, took the seat in the 2014 election and has held it ever since. SCHOOL DISTRICTS North Carolina has 118 unified school districts. While some Democratic-controlled legislatures like Illinois are abusing this power, Republicans are both better equipped and have proven more willing to draw undemocratic lines that favor themselves. Additionally, as of the end of June Castelli only has 8.6% of the funds Manning has. 'Its the time of highest need': Residents face housing shortage, rising prices, Carrboro legend Elizabeth "Libba" Cotten inducted into Rock & Roll Hall of Fame, OC Schools Board of Education hears equity plan update, unanimously accepts, Community members attend inaugural Chapel Hill-Carrboro Juneteenth events, 'An opportunity to celebrate with others': American Indian Heritage Month at UNC, Two Republicans win seats on the NC Supreme Court, flipping majority, Republican Ted Budd wins U.S. Senate seat for North Carolina, Order your exclusive Daily Tar Heel merchandise. Some of the large states Democrats control, like California and Virginia, have delegated redistricting to independent commissions. After the 2000 Census, the number of North Carolina's seats was increased from 12 to 13 due to the state's increase in population. Meet Alma Congresswoman Alma S. Adams, Ph.D. was elected to her fourth full term representing the 12th Congressional District of North Carolina on November 3, 2020. We accept credit card, Apple Pay, and The plurality of voters in this district is Unaffiliated (38%), followed by Democrats (35%) and Republicans (27%). We are a purple state, and the projections had both legislative chambers and the congressional maps being skewed heavily to the party drawing them out, Phillips said. But challenges to the map may face an uphill climb: a 2019 Supreme Court ruling defanged federal anti-gerrymandering protections, making it easier for North Carolina Republicans to get away with twisting the maps. . "What's their solution to anything? Additionally, the district is over 50% women, and 50% of them are registered Democrats. The Princeton Gerrymandering Project did a similar exercise, running over a million simulations of various possible maps. A panel of three judges established the existing congressional map after it declared the Republican-controlled legislatures proposed boundaries constituted unlawful partisan gerrymandering. This was the district served by long-time Representative Walter B. Jones, a Republican from 1995 until his passing in 2019. Using this combined 2020 election results, we can then classify what might be the potential voting 'behavior' of the congressional districts, with an understanding that past NC voting patterns are very close in relationship to future voting patterns. Akin to its other two districts, the strongest Republican district is the Tenth, with Patrick McHenry continuing his GOP nomination for the November contest, facing Democratic challenger Pam Genant. (AP Photo/Ben McKeown, File), Aaron Wenzel, a 47-year-old registered Republican who voted for Hines, said he tends to support Republican candidates for federal offices and Democratic candidates for school board. Theyre also all fairly competitive, which means that there are more Democrats to pack-and-crack into political oblivion than there are in a deep-red state like Alabama. Jackson is extremely active on social media, and one of his videos posted after the leak of the Dobbs decision gained over 12,000 views. And in the new left-leaning 14th District, based in western Charlotte, Democratic state Sen. Jeff Jackson faces Republican businessman Pat Harrigan. The district does have liberal Asheville within it, but that deep blue is surrounded by deep red suburbs and rural areas: only 13 percent of the voters reside in urban central city Asheville, while 37 percent are in rural counties, 27 percent in surrounding suburban counties, and 23 percent in urban suburbs (inside Buncombe County but outside of Asheville city limits). But several districts in this election cycle bear little resemblance to their previous iterations after a lengthy redistricting battle scrambled the states congressional map to account for the new fourteenth seat it was awarded following the 2020 census. The "Big 3" 2020 election results point to a 53/47 Republican advantage in the Ninth, which covers Randolph and Chatham counties down to the South Carolina border and the eastern part of Richmond County and all of Scotland County. NORTH CAROLINA ELECTIONS ARE GENERALLY CLOSELY DIVIDED AFFAIRS. Her opponent will be Republican Courtney Geels, a nurse who is running to heal our nation and is against health care mandates. North Carolina's legislative districts were redrawn in 2017 after a federal court determined they were an illegal gerrymander that sought to weaken the voting strength of minority voters. A GUIDE TO THE FOX NEWS 2022 ELECTIONS EXPERIENCE. Don't use this map for the 2022 election. On net, its likely to shift two or three House seats into the GOPs column in 2022 a nice advantage, especially given how closely divided Congress is at present, but not an insurmountable one. FORMER VP MIKE PENCE VISITS NORTH CAROLINA TO SUPPORT GOP SENATE CANDIDATE TED BUDD. For this year's election, it's more a compact north-south district, from Davidson and Rowan counties through Cabarrus, Stanly, and Montgomery and ending on the South Carolina state line with Union, Anson, and Richmond (all three formerly in the old Ninth District). Her Democratic opponent is Don Davis, who has been serving in the North Carolina State Senate representing District 5 since 2013. This district has the highest percentage of Black North Carolinians in the state, and Black voters are historically a strong voting bloc for the Democrats. The Seventh occupies the southeastern corner of the state, emanating from the Wilmington area of the coast inland to Sandhills region of Cumberland and Robeson counties. In this sense, North Carolinas gerrymandering is less an undemocratic one-off than part of a bigger pattern of undemocratic behavior. Challenging the two-term incumbent Republican is Democrat Scott Huffman, who has run several times prior, most recently as Ted Budd's challenger in the 2020 contest for the Thirteen Congressional District. Marques Thompson, a lead regional managing organizer in eastern North Carolina for Democracy NC, said all voters not just those of a particular party suffer when voting in gerrymandered districts. Democrats in Charlotte, for example, are packed in a very small district where they outnumber Republicans by a roughly 3 to 1 margin. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! The outgoing congressman endorsed Democratic state Sen. Don Davis a former Air Force officer, minister and former mayor of Snow Hill, North Carolina as his successor. Here's the latest in North Carolina Congressional Districts 8, 10, 12 and 14. Common building blocks that you'll see in our modules are precincts, block groups, or blocks . It was so gerrymandered that they were ordered to redraw it. Once the new maps were announced in February of this year, he decided to run to represent this district. Democrats kept the Senate. Jeff Jackson, who has served in the North Carolina State Senate since 2014, is running as the Democratic candidate. Cook PVI has NC-13 as R+2, but the women in the district favor Democrats and more men in the district are Unaffiliated than registered with a party, which we believe gives the Democrats the edge. In the hypothetical maps, Democrats generally do better as they start winning bigger and bigger majorities depicted by the orange peaks shifting to the right. Cook PVI has NC-12 as D+13, which is six points less favorable to Democrats than in 2021 but still very safe. In the end, the North Carolina congressional delegation for the new Congress, to be sworn in on January 3, 2023, should be a fairly evenly-divided group: the potential is there for a perfect 7-7 split, or a slight Republican advantage of an 8-6 delegation, all dependent upon the outcome of the highly competitive Thirteenth Congressional District contest. The state redrew its districts in 1997 and they were rechallenged in court, leading the N.C. General Assembly to redraw the districts a second time. A full 10% of voters do not list race or ethnicity in this district the highest in the state which makes analysis of the racial dynamics of this race tricky. Harrigan now runs a company in Burke County that manufactures handguns and semiautomatic rifles. This GOP advantage is likely to increase in the current redistricting cycle. Biden admits Democrats won't be able to codify Roe v. Wade: 'I don't think there's enough votes', Biden says after Xi meeting he doesnt believe there is imminent attempt from China to invade Taiwan, Congress aims to fast-track weapons aid to Taiwan amid tensions with China, Hawley demands answers on DHS disinformation efforts, accuses Mayorkas of hiding docs from Congress. Filed under Redistricting After considering at least 11 proposals, the North Carolina General Assembly finally passed a new congressional map on Nov. 4 and it's one of the most. The courts have done a great service to North Carolina by making sure that they rejected a map that was gerrymandered, Thompson said. Alamance County Caswell County (part) Durham County Granville County That's according to a large study of U.S. births published Wednesday in the journal Pediatrics. Republican David Rouzer wins reelection to U.S. House in North Carolina's 7th Congressional District. While the Democratic candidate Jasmine Beach-Ferrara is seeking to make this a competitive contest, the Republican fundamentals in the Eleventh point to a 54 percent "Big 3" election classification. POLITICO's coverage of 2020 races for President, Senate, House, Governors and Key Ballot Measures. Between that and the fact that a majority of the district is urban (59%) and there is a high percentage of Black voters (31%), we rate this seat as Likely Democrat. Bishop and the current Eight's congressmen Richard Hudson basically 'flipped' their target districts, with Hudson going to the new Ninth. If American democracy dies, itll die in the states. 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